Posts tagged: inflation

Aug 12 2009

13 ETFs to Hedge Against Inflation.

Inflation is in the news again, thanks to worries over the historic deficit spending in Washington today. If the Fed gets the timing wrong on the next round of interest rate hikes, then inflation could be a real problem.

According to a recent working paper by the International Monetary Fund:

“Given the policy tools employed through the crisis so far, particularly massive injections of liquidity and quantitative easing, the risks of this outcome remain significant. This implies that inflation hedging should remain an important component of long-run investment policy.”

To that end, here are 13 ETFs …

TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities)

For domestic TIPS, check out the iShares Barclays TIPS Bond Fund (TIP) and SPDR Barclays Capital TIPS (IPE). TIP is has over $14 billion in assets and sports a 0.2% expense ratio and 4.68% yield. By contrast, IPE has $288 million in assets, a  0.19% expense ratio.

Like everything else in the investing world these days, there’s an international option: the SPDR DB International Government Inflation-Protected Bond ETF (WIP), which follows inflation-indexed bonds in foreign markets. WIP has $394 million in assets, a 3.70% yield and a 0.5% expense ratio.
TIPS have lost value recently because the major fear is still deflation, but by the time everyone is talking about inflation as a serious threat, their price will have shot up.

Gold and Precious Medals.

Commodities are a classic inflation hedge, and now you can use ETFs to simplify your diversification.
Here are some of the more popular ETFs in this category:

  • SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) (stores underlying gold in a vault)
  • iShares Silver Trust (SLV)
  • PowerShares DB Gold Fund (DGL)
  • PowerShares DB Precious Metals Fund (DBP)
  • PowerShares DB Base Metals Fund (DBB) (indexed to industrial metals such as aluminum, copper and zinc)
  • PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) (for shelter from rising food prices)

Energy, especially Oil stocks, are also another type of inflation hedge. Here are 2 solid ETFs from this category:

  • U.S. Oil Fund (USO) (tracks crude-oil futures contracts)
  • Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)

Foreign Currency.

Another potential hedge might be foreign currencies, since the dollar would likely lose value against foreign currencies if inflation rages. Here are 2 choice ETFs for that hedge:

  • CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)
  • PowerShares DB Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN)

No one can say for sure whether we’re in for times of high inflation, deflation or a return to normalcy (whatever that is), but it’s important to have a least some of your portfolio in various vehicles for insurance against such wealth destroying environments.


Related Posts
  • Beware Target-Date Funds! Target-date funds were supposed to be the ultimate idiot-proof investment vehicle for retirement savings. The idea is that asset allocation is the single most important factor in determining investing success, and most people get it wrong. Many others never even try because they find the concept too daunting. Many people......
  • 5 Things to Do When You Have a Bad 401(k) Plan. 401(k) plans can be a great way to save for retirement and let your savings grow tax-free. But the plans are chosen by employers and managed by 3rd parties and don't always have the best options. IRAs give you the entire universe of investments to choose from, but most employers......
  • Top 5 Best Investors. Here are the top 5 Investors of all time, as picked by  Investopedia. But first, the criteria... The list is based on 4 factors: The investor is a long term performer - that is one with a long history of beating their bench mark index(es). The investor or manager must......
  • A Sample ETF Portfolio for 100% Foreign Exposure. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) offer broad diversity in a single package, and if the ETF is an index fund then they carry added tax benefits when compared to actively manage mutual funds. When ETFs first hit the investment scene, they were simple index tracking funds. They mainly targeted passive investors.......
  • A Sample ETF Portfolio for Maximum Income (and Fat, Juicy Yields). With the low fees and wide selection of ETFs, you can now build a portfolio for maximum and minimum fees relatively easily. Here's one such sample portfolio from Kiplinger that allocates 65% to bonds, 35% to stocks. The bond section is spread between conservative, laddered treasures and riskier junk bonds.......

Related Websites
  • Options for Investing in a Stimulated Green Economy Based on what I've read so far, I'm unlikely to be a fan of the Obama stimulus plan.  But all of us who are skeptics need to be practical about it.  Even though I won't be receiving any direct stimulus money, plenty of others will.  So maybe those of us who will not be......
  • Bonds and Your Retirement Portfolio Are bonds part of your retirement portfolio? If not, they probably should be. The question is how to properly use bonds in your portfolio. If you are closing in on retirement, now is a good time to learn more about the proper place for bonds in your nest egg, particularly......
  • Mutual Funds - An Investment Vehicle For Small Investors Human beings from their very inception want to earn and save something for unwanted situations. In earlier stage he puts his earnings under the soil to keep it safe from being stolen. Later banking system was developed and subsequently different kind of instruments for investment is being used. Nowadays,......
  • Sunday Money Madness - Happy New Year! Happy New Year Everybody! Let's kick off the first of this year's roundup with a bang! Credit and Debt No Debt Does Not Mean Good Credit says Credit Karma. All Financial Matters posts Bureaus Roll Out New Credit Score Formula for 2009. Finance for a Freelance Life asks Got Gift......
  • Retirement Income from an Inflation Indexed Annuity Inflation is the great killer of long-term retirement dreams. Inflation is also a great unknown. When it will hit, how hard, and for how long is difficult to predict. This can add significant complexity to retirement planning. Many of us want to simplify, not add complexity and cost. Eliminating Retirement......
Jul 09 2009

Make Your Grandchild a TAX-FREE Millionaire!

I just got a Bottom Line Magazine offer in the mail, and thought I needed to blog about this one of the “smart money tip” inside.

The tip is titled “Make Your Grandchild a TAX-FREE Millionaire!” and they include this nice chart showing a lump sum investment growing skyward to $2 million.

How it works.

The basis of this tip is the Roth IRA, which allows the gains to be taken out tax free after a certain age. Here’s how it goes…

Once your teenage grand child is gainfully employed, they contribute $4,000 between the years of 16 and 21 and that’s it. The investments in the Roth IRA earn 10% a year (average over 49 or so years) and, voila at the age of 65 they grandchild has over $2 million tax-free.

Why it’s bunk.

First, let me say that the theory is sound and would work. The problem is that over the 49 years that the money is accumulating, inflation will be eroding the value of the dollar.

Assuming 3% inflation (average) and 10% return over 49 years, I entered these values into the inflation calculator at Forbes and that $2,000,000 will be worth approximately $449,619 in 49 years.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not saying $449,619 is chump change, but it’s a far cry from $2,000,000!

As I said, the theory is sound and it’s not a bad idea, but don’t think you’re setting your grandchild up to be the next Gates or Rockefeller.


Related Posts
  • A Tale of 4 High Income Bond Funds. Bonds have gotten a lot of attention over the past year and it's easy to see why when you look at this chart. What you're looking at is a relatively smooth ride up until the world collapsed in October of 2008. The investorspeak for that smooth ride is "low volatility",......
  • 100 Free Trades From Ameritrade. Listen up, investors! If you're looking for free stock trades online, and don't mind opening an account with discount broker Ameritrade, then this could be the deal you've been looking for. Open an account using this link, with an initial deposit of $2,000 and get 100 commision-free Internet equity trades for......
  • My 401(k) is Over Its Pre-Crash Value! I braved my last 401(k) statement yesterday and lo and behold, what to my wondering eyes should appear but a fully reconstituted 401(k) balance! It got pretty ugly around November of last year, and I quite frankly stopped looking. But that doesn't mean I ignored it completely. I ramped up......
  • Mutual Fund Monday: Morningstar Announces their Choice for Fund Managers of the Decade. These managers were chosen by Morningstar as the best of the decade because the "deftly steered investors through good times and bad". That's saying something. Investing in the '80's and 90's was pretty clear cut, but the 1st decade of the 21st century was anything but easy. As with the......
  • 8 Ways to Rock Your Roth Conversion. When the calendar passed from December to January, we bid a not so fond adieu to 2009 as well as the rollover income limitation associated with transitioning a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA. This is a good thing if  converting to a Roth IRA makes sense for you. The......

Related Websites
  • Why Tax Free Municipal Bonds are Great Investments in Obama’s America When President Obama was elected, the political tide began to lean in a direction that no longer favored the wealthy. The emphasis moved award from President Bush's idea of an "ownership society" and moved toward benefiting the lower and middle class. Whether one agrees with the president's politics or not,......
  • Sen John Barrasso Innumeracy I received enough email asking why I picked on Obama for what may have been a slip of the tongue regarding distribution of income gains. I think that our elected officials, whoever they are, need to speak with precision and when it comes to numbers, be close enough to exhibit......
  • 2009 IRA Contribution Limits "Pay yourself first" is a common phrase around the personal finance water cooler. The idea behind the phrase is that you must be putting away some money for savings and investing, before the entire check is allocated to other areas of your budget. Part of being able to save and......
  • Retirement Savings: 401k Matched, Roth IRA Maxed, Now What? Financial planners occasionally squabble over whether or not to invest in a 401(k) or open a Roth IRA.  Most agree that passing up matching funds in a 401(k) plan makes little sense, so it's probably best to start there. After taking advantage of those matching funds by investing through the......
  • Tustin Ranch Golf Club, Tustin, CA Tustin Ranch Golf Club is located in: Tustin, CA Phone: 714/730-1611 Website: http://www.tustinranchgolf.com/ Course History: This course was designed by Ted Robinson and you'll easily feel as though you've been transported into paradise the minute you arrive. By far, one of the most visually stunning golf courses we have ever......
Search Engine Submission - AddMe